Saturday, June 23, 2018

NHL trade review: Flames, Hurricanes make blockbuster trade

            The Carolina Hurricanes have acquired defensemen Dougie Hamilton and Adam Fox, plus forward Michael Ferland from the Calgary Flames in exchange for defenseman Noah Hanifin and forward Elias Lindholm.

            For the Hurricanes, they need a big shake up. New owner Tom Dundon said he'd chance things around town, and he did just that with this move. Hamilton has a $5.75 million cap hit at three years left. I think he could still be on this contract when the Canes are a competitive team. Ferland is a bottom six winger with one year left at $1.75 million. Fox is still unsigned, but could be a big time prospect. He could do the Jimmy Vesey move- wait out college and become a UFA. Hanifin, a former 5th overall pick, and Lindholm, a top 9 forward, are both RFAs.

           Hamilton, 25, scored 17 goals and 27 assists for 44 points in 82 games for the Flames this past season. In his NHL career for the Flames and Boston Bruins, Hamilton has scored 64 goals and 165 assists for 220 points in 423 games.

           Ferland, 26, scored 21 goals and 20 assists for 41 points in 77 games this past season. In his NHL career, all in Calgary, Ferland has scored 42 goals and 47 assists for 89 points in 250 games.

           Fox, 20, scored six goals and 22 assists for 28 points in 29 games for Harvard last season.

           For the Flames, I don't get this trade too much. Hanifin is a very young defenseman with high upside, but is an even. I've always felt that Lindholm is overrated. He's never proved to be a top 6 player in the NHL. They give up two good defenseman and a bottom six six forward for a good defenseman and average forward.

           Hanifin, 21, scored 10 goals and 22 assists for 32 points in 79 games in 2017-18. In his career, all in Carolina, Hanifin has scored 18 goals and 65 assists for 83 points in 239 games.

           Lindholm, 23, scored 16 goals and 28 assists for 44 points in 81 games in 2017-18. In his NHL career, all in Carolina, Lindholm has scored 64 goals and 124 assists for 188 points in 374 games.

          I think the Hurricanes win this trade. Hamilton is a little better than Hanifin, and you could make a case for Ferland being better than Lindholm. Plus, Fox is a really good prospect. That is why they win the trade.

Friday, June 22, 2018

NHL trade review: Avalanche acquires Grubauer, Orpik

             The Colorado Avalanche have acquired goalie Phillip Grubauer and defenseman Brooks Orpik from the Washington Capitals in exchange for a 2nd round draft pick in the 2018 NHL draft (47th overall).

               For the Avalanche, Semyon Varlamov and Jonathan Bernier could be on the move, and that would leave the team without a goalie. Grubauer is a current RFA, and 26 years old, young for a goalie. They take on the cap hit of Orpik, but his $5 million cap hit only lasts for one season. They only give up a second, pretty good for a fringe goalie.

              Grubauer, 26, had a 2.35 GAA and .923 SV% in 35 games for the Caps this past season. In his NHL career, all in Washington, Grubauer has a SV% of .923 and a 2.29 GAA in 101 games.

              Orpik, 37, scored 10 points, all assists in 81 games for the Caps this past season. In his NHL career, for the Caps and Pittsburgh Penguins, Orpik has scored 16 goals and 169 assists for 185 points in 982 games.

             For the Caps, Ilya Samsonov, the top goalie prospect, is ready to play next season. Plus, they have Braden Holtby as their starter. They wanted to send Grubauer somewhere where he can start. Also, they unload Orpik's contract. This frees up cap space to sign top defenseman John Carlson, a pending UFA. They get a second round pick, which is pretty good to unload a big contract.

           I think this is an even trade. The Caps get the cap space they need, and the Avs get their goalie. That's why it is an even trade.

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

NHL trade review: Hoffman flipped, traded to Panthers

                    The Florida Panthers have acquired forward Mike Hoffman and a 2018 7th round pick from the San Jose Sharks in exchange for a 2019 2nd round pick, and a 4th and 5th round pick, both in 2018.

                    For the Panthers, their expansion draft blunders last year left them without two scoring wingers in Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith. Hoffman would definitely help them. They give up some picks, but none of them are big picks, except for next year's second.

                   Hoffman, 28, scored 22 goals and 34 assists for 56 points in 82 games for the Sens this season. In his NHL career, all in Ottawa, Hoffman has scored 107 goals and 123 assists for 230 points in 342 games.

                  For the Sharks, Hoffman was acquired this morning from the Ottawa Senators. They traded Mikkel Boedker for him, freeing up $4 million in cap space. This gives them room to make a run for John Tavares in free agency. Even if it's not him, it's good to have the space to sign other players, or to use it for a trade. They got a better return from the Panthers then the Sens got from the Sharks, which is a plus. The picks could be valuable to them if they want to trade up. In all, it's a really good move for them.

                  I think this is an even trade. The Sharks get picks and free up cap space, and get a better deal than the Senators got. The Panthers get the winger they need. That's why it's an even trade.

NHL trade review: Hoffman to Sharks

                The San Jose Sharks have acquired winger Mike Hoffman, D Cody Donaghey and a 5th round draft pick in 2020 from the Ottawa Senators in exchange for forward Mikkel Boedker, defenseman Julius Bergman and a 6th rounder in 2020.

               For the Sharks, they are taking a big risk here. Recent allegations against Hoffman's fiance have started a lawsuit where defenseman Erik Karlsson's wife is asking for an order of protection against Hoffman's fiance, Monika Caryk. But, Hoffman is a good player, and they get him for much less than they regularly would. They move up a round in 2020, and exchange prospects. Hoffman has two years left of control, so he isn't a rental.

               Hoffman, 28, scored 22 goals and 34 assists for 56 points in 82 games for the Sens this season. In his NHL career, all in Ottawa, Hoffman has scored 107 goals and 123 assists for 230 points in 342 games.

              Donaghey, 22, scored no points in one AHL game last season, and nine goals and seven assists for 16 points in 54 ECHL games last season, his first professional.

              For the Sens, they need to blow up and start over. The whole situation they are in (see above) caused them to either trade Hoffman, or Karlsson. Karlsson is their best player, so Hoffman was the easy choice to trade. Boedker scores about ten goals less than Hoffman a year, and has the same amount of years left as him. The only part of this trade where they really win is the defensemen. Bergman is a level higher than Donaghey. That's their advantage.

             Boedker, 28, scored 15 goals and 22 assists for 37 points in 74 games for the Sharks this past season. In his NHL career for the Sharks, Colorado Avalanche and Phoenix/Arizona Coyotes, Boedker has scored 109 goals, 179 assists and 288 points in 618 games.

             Bergman, 22, scored 10 goals and 10 assists for 20 points in 65 AHL games last year. In his AHL career, Bergman has scored 16 goals and 45 assists for 61 points in 190 games.

            I think the Sharks win this trade. It's simple. Hoffman is way better than Boedker. Bergman is better than Donaghey, but the NHL players favor the Sharks, and that's what matters.